CIK: 0001059556
· Financial Services / Financial Data & Stock Exchanges
· 3d ago
$510.86
-8.16 (-1.57%)
Market Cap
$89B
P/E 36.6
EV/EBITDA 25.1x
P/B 29.8
Div Yield 0.79%
52W $402 – $547
Loading chart…
Growth
Compounded Sales Growth
| 10 Years | 8% |
| 5 Years | 8% |
| 3 Years | 12% |
| TTM | 9% |
Compounded Profit Growth
| 10 Years | 10% |
| 5 Years | 7% |
| 3 Years | 21% |
| TTM | 18% |
Fundamental Growth Decomposition
ⓘ
Window:
Returns / Quality
Avg ROIC (All-Capital)
| 10 Years | 34% |
| 5 Years | 26% |
| 3 Years | 26% |
| Last Year | 30% |
Return on Equity
| 10 Years | 61% |
| 5 Years | 61% |
| 3 Years | 56% |
| Last Year | 61% |
Capital Allocation
Capital Return Ratio (vs OE)
| 10 Years | 81% |
| 5 Years | 83% |
| 3 Years | 86% |
| Last Year | 96% |
Dividend Growth (DPS)
| 10 Years | 11% |
| 5 Years | 12% |
| 3 Years | 12% |
Performance
Stock Price CAGR
| 10 Years | 18% |
| 5 Years | 7% |
| 3 Years | 14% |
| 1 Year | -0% |
| Metric | FY15 | FY16 | FY17 | FY18 | FY19 | FY20 | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capital Allocation (USD millions / %) | |||||||||||
| NOPAT | 1,014 | 322 | 1,027 | 1,475 | 1,577 | 1,904 | 2,286 | 1,470 | 1,776 | 2,193 | 2,636 |
| Invested capital (ops) | 1,086 | 1,185 | 1,450 | 1,577 | 1,673 | 1,669 | 2,020 | 2,102 | 2,239 | 2,404 | 2,684 |
| Reinvestment rate % | N/A | 30.7% | 25.9% | 8.6% | 6.1% | -0.2% | 15.4% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 10.6% |
| ROIC (Ops) % ⓘ | 93.4% | 28.3% | 78.0% | 97.4% | 97.1% | 113.9% | 123.9% | 71.3% | 81.8% | 94.5% | 103.6% |
| Invested capital (All-Capital) | 583 | 479 | 4,029 | 4,767 | 4,263 | 5,295 | 8,238 | 8,049 | 8,126 | 8,716 | 8,600 |
| ROIC (All-Capital) % ⓘ | 173.8% | 60.6% | 45.6% | 33.5% | 34.9% | 39.8% | 33.8% | 18.1% | 22.0% | 26.0% | 30.4% |
| Capital return ratio % | N/A | 514.8% | 61.1% | 42.2% | 95.8% | 49.0% | 59.2% | 100.2% | 63.0% | 92.8% | 96.2% |
| Acquisition intensity % | 0.1% | 0.0% | 38.7% | 3.3% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 16.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Profit & Loss (USD millions) | |||||||||||
| Revenue | 3,484 | 3,604 | 4,204 | 4,443 | 4,829 | 5,371 | 6,218 | 5,468 | 5,916 | 7,088 | 7,718 |
| Revenue growth % | N/A | 3.4% | 16.6% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 15.8% | -12.1% | 8.2% | 19.8% | 8.9% |
| Gross profit | — | — | 2,988 | 3,197 | 3,442 | 3,896 | 4,581 | 3,855 | 4,229 | 5,143 | 5,745 |
| Gross margin % | — | — | 71.1% | 72.0% | 71.3% | 72.5% | 73.7% | 70.5% | 71.5% | 72.6% | 74.4% |
| Gross profit growth % | N/A | — | — | 7.0% | 7.7% | 13.2% | 17.6% | -15.8% | 9.7% | 21.6% | 11.7% |
| Operating income | 1,473 | 651 | 1,821 | 1,868 | 1,998 | 2,388 | 2,844 | 1,883 | 2,137 | 2,875 | 3,351 |
| Operating margin % | 42.3% | 18.1% | 43.3% | 42.0% | 41.4% | 44.5% | 45.7% | 34.4% | 36.1% | 40.6% | 43.4% |
| Operating income growth % | N/A | -55.8% | 179.8% | 2.6% | 7.0% | 19.5% | 19.1% | -33.8% | 13.5% | 34.5% | 16.6% |
| EBITDA | 1,587 | 778 | 1,979 | 2,060 | 2,198 | 2,608 | 3,101 | 2,214 | 2,510 | 3,306 | 3,831 |
| EBITDA growth % | N/A | -51.0% | 154.5% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 18.7% | 18.9% | -28.6% | 13.4% | 31.7% | 15.9% |
| EBITDA margin % | 45.5% | 21.6% | 47.1% | 46.4% | 45.5% | 48.6% | 49.9% | 40.5% | 42.4% | 46.6% | 49.6% |
| Interest expense | — | — | — | — | — | 132 | 162 | 198 | 281 | 280 | 235 |
| Interest coverage (x) | — | — | — | — | — | 19.8x | 19.1x | 11.2x | 8.9x | 11.8x | 16.3x |
| Net income | 941 | 267 | 1,001 | 1,310 | 1,422 | 1,778 | 2,214 | 1,374 | 1,607 | 2,058 | 2,459 |
| Net margin % | 27.0% | 7.4% | 23.8% | 29.5% | 29.4% | 33.1% | 35.6% | 25.1% | 27.2% | 29.0% | 31.9% |
| Net income growth % | N/A | -71.7% | 275.5% | 30.9% | 8.5% | 25.0% | 24.5% | -37.9% | 17.0% | 28.1% | 19.5% |
| EPS (diluted, $) | 4.63 | 1.36 | 5.15 | 6.74 | 7.42 | 9.39 | 11.78 | 7.44 | 8.73 | 11.26 | 13.67 |
| EPS growth % | N/A | -70.6% | 278.7% | 30.9% | 10.1% | 26.5% | 25.5% | -36.8% | 17.3% | 29.0% | 21.4% |
| Balance Sheet (USD millions) | |||||||||||
| Total assets | 5,103 | 5,327 | 8,594 | 9,526 | 10,265 | 12,409 | 14,680 | 14,349 | 14,622 | 15,505 | 15,830 |
| Total debt | 3,381 | 3,929 | 5,540 | 6,126 | 5,581 | 6,422 | 7,413 | 7,389 | 7,001 | 8,125 | 6,994 |
| Shareholders' equity | -565 | -1,225 | -328 | 459 | 612 | 1,569 | 2,727 | 2,519 | 3,318 | 3,565 | 4,054 |
| Cash & equivalents | 2,232 | 2,225 | 1,184 | 1,818 | 1,930 | 2,696 | 1,902 | 1,859 | 2,193 | 2,974 | 2,448 |
| Shares outstanding (M) | 203 | 195 | 194 | 194 | 192 | 189 | 188 | 185 | 184 | 183 | 180 |
| Cash Flow (USD millions) | |||||||||||
| Operating cash flow | 1,198 | 1,259 | 755 | 1,461 | 1,675 | 2,146 | 2,005 | 1,474 | 2,151 | 2,838 | 2,901 |
| Capex | 89 | 115 | 91 | 91 | 69 | 103 | 139 | 283 | 271 | 317 | 326 |
| Free cash flow | 1,109 | 1,144 | 664 | 1,370 | 1,606 | 2,043 | 1,866 | 1,191 | 1,880 | 2,521 | 2,575 |
| FCF margin % | 31.8% | 31.7% | 15.8% | 30.8% | 33.3% | 38.0% | 30.0% | 21.8% | 31.8% | 35.6% | 33.4% |
| FCF growth % | N/A | 3.1% | -42.0% | 106.3% | 17.2% | 27.2% | -8.7% | -36.2% | 57.9% | 34.1% | 2.1% |
| Owner Earnings | N/A | 199 | 802 | 1,279 | 1,429 | 1,885 | 2,050 | 1,495 | 1,673 | 2,060 | 2,399 |
| Owner Earnings margin % | N/A | 5.5% | 19.1% | 28.8% | 29.6% | 35.1% | 33.0% | 27.3% | 28.3% | 29.1% | 31.1% |
| Owner Earnings growth % | N/A | N/A | 303.0% | 59.6% | 11.7% | 31.9% | 8.8% | -27.1% | 11.9% | 23.1% | 16.5% |
| Unlevered Owner Earnings | 1,039 | 333 | 1,094 | 1,576 | 1,708 | 2,021 | 2,404 | 1,518 | 1,878 | 2,307 | 2,790 |
| Investing cash flow | -92 | 102 | -3,420 | -406 | 36 | -1,077 | -2,619 | -262 | -247 | -1,056 | 2 |
| Financing cash flow | -506 | -1,043 | 1,600 | -412 | -1,563 | -351 | -122 | -1,208 | -1,584 | -1,446 | -3,063 |
| Dividends paid | 272 | 285 | 290 | 337 | 378 | 420 | 463 | 515 | 564 | 620 | 701 |
| Share buybacks | 1,098 | 739 | 200 | 203 | 991 | 503 | 750 | 983 | 490 | 1,292 | 1,607 |
| Buyback yield % | 6.0% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% |
| D&A | 114 | 127 | 158 | 192 | 200 | 220 | 257 | 331 | 373 | 431 | 480 |
| CFO / Op. Income % | 81.3% | 193.5% | 41.5% | 78.2% | 83.8% | 89.9% | 70.5% | 78.3% | 100.7% | 98.7% | 86.6% |
| Working Capital (USD millions) | |||||||||||
| Accounts receivable | 802 | 887 | 1,147 | 1,287 | 1,419 | 1,430 | 1,720 | 1,652 | 1,659 | 1,801 | 2,024 |
| Inventory | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Accounts payable | 22 | 28 | 22 | 30 | 38 | 39 | 47 | 52 | 23 | 53 | 62 |
| Net PPE | 306 | 326 | 325 | 320 | 292 | 278 | 347 | 502 | 603 | 656 | 722 |
| Key Ratios | |||||||||||
| ROE % | -166.6% | -21.8% | -305.5% | 285.4% | 232.4% | 113.3% | 81.2% | 54.5% | 48.4% | 57.7% | 60.7% |
| ROA % | 18.4% | 5.0% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 15.1% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 15.5% |
| ROCE % | 37.9% | 22.5% | 27.9% | 25.2% | 23.9% | 23.4% | 23.3% | 15.7% | 17.6% | 24.1% | 26.1% |
| Debt / Equity | -5.98 | -3.21 | -16.91 | 13.35 | 9.12 | 4.09 | 2.72 | 2.93 | 2.11 | 2.28 | 1.73 |
| Net Debt / EBITDA (x) | 0.7x | 2.2x | 2.2x | 2.1x | 1.7x | 1.4x | 1.8x | 2.5x | 1.9x | 1.6x | 1.2x |
| Debtor days | 84 | 90 | 100 | 106 | 107 | 97 | 101 | 110 | 102 | 93 | 96 |
| Inventory days | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Days payable (DPO) | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 11 |
| Cash conv. cycle | 82 | 87 | 93 | 97 | 97 | 88 | 90 | 99 | 97 | 83 | 84 |
| Metric |
FY24 Q2 Jun 24 |
FY24 Q3 Sep 24 |
FY24 Q4 Dec 24 |
FY25 Q1 Mar 25 |
FY25 Q2 Jun 25 |
FY25 Q3 Sep 25 |
FY25 Q4 Dec 25 |
FY26 Q1 Mar 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit & Loss (USD millions) | ||||||||
| Revenue | 1,817 | 1,813 | 1,672 | 1,924 | 1,898 | 2,007 | 1,889 | 2,079 |
| Gross profit | 1,348 | 1,301 | 1,175 | 1,433 | 1,409 | 1,515 | 1,388 | 1,548 |
| Gross margin % | 74.2% | 71.8% | 70.3% | 74.5% | 74.2% | 75.5% | 73.5% | 74.5% |
| Operating income | 775 | 738 | 561 | 846 | 818 | 917 | 770 | 922 |
| Net income | 552 | 534 | 395 | 625 | 578 | 646 | 610 | 661 |
| Net margin % | 30.4% | 29.5% | 23.6% | 32.5% | 30.5% | 32.2% | 32.3% | 31.8% |
| EPS (diluted, $) | 3.02 | 2.93 | 2.16 | 3.46 | 3.21 | 3.60 | 3.39 | 3.73 |
| Balance Sheet (USD millions, end of quarter) | ||||||||
| Total assets | 15,013 | 15,769 | 15,505 | 15,096 | 15,487 | 15,415 | 15,830 | 14,732 |
| Total debt | 7,629 | 8,262 | 8,125 | 6,823 | 6,967 | 6,983 | 6,994 | 7,539 |
| Shareholders' equity | 3,778 | 3,905 | 3,565 | 3,700 | 3,949 | 3,957 | 4,054 | 2,994 |
| Cash & equivalents | 2,635 | 2,642 | 2,974 | 2,139 | 2,174 | 2,181 | 2,448 | 1,469 |
| Cash Flow (USD millions) | ||||||||
| Operating cash flow | 686 | 703 | 674 | 757 | 543 | 743 | 858 | 939 |
| Capex | 93 | 72 | 74 | 85 | 75 | 85 | 81 | 95 |
| Free cash flow | 593 | 631 | 600 | 672 | 468 | 658 | 777 | 844 |
Relationship Revenue
Transaction Revenue
Assets Backed Securities
Bank Loans
Banking
Commercial Real Estate Finance
High Yield
Insurance
Investment Grade
Managed Investments
Other Product Lines
Project And Infrastructure
Public Finance Sovereign
Residential Mortgage Backed Securities Product
Structured Credit
Recurring Revenue
Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities Product
DS Banking Product And Service
KYC
| Segment | FY2016 | FY2017 | FY2018 | FY2019 | FY2020 | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue ($M) | ||||||||||
| Relationship Revenue | 1,849
51% |
2,085
50%+13% |
2,481
56%+19% |
2,727
56%+10% |
2,997
56%+10% |
— | — | — | — | — |
| Transaction Revenue | 1,755
49% |
2,119
50%+21% |
1,962
44%-7% |
2,102
44%+7% |
2,379
44%+13% |
2,810
45%+18% |
1,682
31%-40% |
1,837
31%+9% |
2,687
38%+46% |
2,878
37%+7% |
| Assets Backed Securities | — | 97
2% |
107
2%+10% |
99
2%-7% |
98
2%-1% |
118
2%+20% |
116
2%-2% |
121
2%+4% |
130
2%+7% |
142
2%+9% |
| Bank Loans | — | 351
8% |
379
9%+8% |
313
6%-17% |
287
5%-8% |
606
10%+111% |
275
5%-55% |
292
5%+6% |
527
7%+80% |
503
7%-5% |
| Banking | — | 300
7% |
290
7%-3% |
320
7%+10% |
355
7%+11% |
411
7%+16% |
481
9%+17% |
521
9%+8% |
551
8%+6% |
569
7%+3% |
| Commercial Real Estate Finance | — | 87
2% |
78
2%-10% |
81
2%+4% |
61
1%-25% |
102
2%+67% |
— | — | — | — |
| High Yield | — | 254
6% |
175
4%-31% |
258
5%+47% |
352
7%+36% |
411
7%+17% |
108
2%-74% |
150
3%+39% |
285
4%+90% |
324
4%+14% |
| Insurance | — | 102
2% |
114
3%+12% |
119
2%+4% |
137
3%+15% |
245
4%+79% |
504
9%+106% |
550
9%+9% |
598
8%+9% |
685
9%+15% |
| Investment Grade | — | 335
8% |
271
6%-19% |
379
8%+40% |
636
12%+68% |
439
7%-31% |
294
5%-33% |
335
6%+14% |
488
7%+46% |
573
7%+17% |
| Managed Investments | — | 22
1% |
25
1%+14% |
25
1%+0% |
28
1%+12% |
36
1%+29% |
28
1%-22% |
32
1%+14% |
49
1%+53% |
59
1%+20% |
| Other Product Lines | — | 508
12% |
554
12%+9% |
547
11%-1% |
582
11%+6% |
631
10%+8% |
592
11%-6% |
627
11%+6% |
650
9%+4% |
732
9%+13% |
| Project And Infrastructure | — | 213
5% |
206
5%-3% |
224
5%+9% |
246
5%+10% |
277
4%+13% |
234
4%-16% |
271
5%+16% |
324
5%+20% |
360
5%+11% |
| Public Finance Sovereign | — | 218
5% |
185
4%-15% |
222
5%+20% |
250
5%+13% |
244
4%-2% |
197
4%-19% |
205
3%+4% |
240
3%+17% |
275
4%+15% |
| Residential Mortgage Backed Securities Product | — | 89
2% |
98
2%+10% |
95
2%-3% |
96
2%+1% |
123
2%+28% |
106
2%-14% |
92
2%-13% |
98
1%+7% |
111
1%+13% |
| Structured Credit | — | 165
4% |
196
4%+19% |
148
3%-24% |
105
2%-29% |
215
3%+105% |
140
3%-35% |
129
2%-8% |
193
3%+50% |
202
3%+5% |
| Recurring Revenue | — | — | — | 2,727
56% |
2,992
56%+10% |
3,408
55%+14% |
3,786
69%+11% |
4,079
69%+8% |
4,401
62%+8% |
4,840
63%+10% |
| Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities Product | — | — | — | — | 61
1% |
102
2%+67% |
98
2%-4% |
60
1%-39% |
94
1%+57% |
99
1%+5% |
| DS Banking Product And Service | — | — | — | — | — | 474
8% |
481
9%+1% |
521
9%+8% |
— | — |
| KYC | — | — | — | — | — | 217
3% |
260
5%+20% |
312
5%+20% |
367
5%+18% |
438
6%+19% |
| Total (check) | 3,604 | 6,945 | 7,121 | 10,386 | 11,662 | 10,869 | 9,382 | 10,134 | 11,682 | 12,790 |
Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL · Full breakdown ↗
Intersegment Elimination
Moodys Analytics
Moodys Investors Service
| Segment | FY2012 | FY2013 | FY2014 | FY2015 | FY2016 | FY2017 | FY2018 | FY2019 | FY2020 | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue ($M) | ||||||||||||||
| Intersegment Elimination | -83
|
-91
|
-101
|
-107
-3% |
-114
-3% |
-128
-3% |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Moodys Analytics | 845
|
913
+8% |
1,082
+18% |
1,163
33%+8% |
1,247
35%+7% |
1,446
34%+16% |
1,743
39%+21% |
1,963
41%+13% |
2,086
39%+6% |
2,413
39%+16% |
2,777
51%+15% |
3,069
52%+11% |
3,308
47%+8% |
3,611
47%+9% |
| Moodys Investors Service | 1,969
|
2,150
+9% |
2,353
+9% |
2,428
70%+3% |
2,471
69%+2% |
2,886
69%+17% |
2,836
64%-2% |
3,009
62%+6% |
3,440
64%+14% |
3,977
64%+16% |
2,873
53%-28% |
3,046
51%+6% |
3,986
56%+31% |
4,317
56%+8% |
| Total (check) | 2,730 | 2,972 | 3,334 | 3,484 | 3,604 | 4,204 | 4,579 | 4,972 | 5,526 | 6,390 | 5,650 | 6,115 | 7,294 | 7,928 |
| Operating Margin % | ||||||||||||||
| Intersegment Elimination | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Moodys Analytics | +15.3% | +18.1% | +19.5% | +19.9% | +18.9% | +17.2% | +17.7% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Moodys Investors Service | +48.2% | +49.7% | +52.2% | +51.1% | +16.8% | +54.5% | +55.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL · Full breakdown ↗
Annual Reports (10-K)
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FY 2025 Filed 2026-02-18View 10-K ↗
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FY 2024 Filed 2025-02-14View 10-K ↗
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FY 2023 Filed 2024-02-14View 10-K ↗
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FY 2022 Filed 2023-02-15View 10-K ↗
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FY 2021 Filed 2022-02-22View 10-K ↗
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FY 2020 Filed 2021-02-22View 10-K ↗
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FY 2019 Filed 2020-02-24View 10-K ↗
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FY 2018 Filed 2019-02-25View 10-K ↗
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FY 2017 Filed 2018-02-27View 10-K ↗
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FY 2016 Filed 2017-02-24View 10-K ↗
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FY 2015 Filed 2016-02-25View 10-K ↗
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FY 2014 Filed 2015-02-26View 10-K ↗
Quarterly Reports (10-Q)
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2026-03-31 Filed 2026-04-23View 10-Q ↗
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2025-09-30 Filed 2025-10-23View 10-Q ↗
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2025-06-30 Filed 2025-07-24View 10-Q ↗
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2024-03-31 Filed 2024-05-02View 10-Q ↗
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2023-09-30 Filed 2023-10-26View 10-Q ↗
Earnings & Financial Updates
8-K item 2.02 — Results of Operations
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2026-04-22 8-KView 8-K ↗
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2026-02-18 8-KView 8-K ↗
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2025-10-22 8-KView 8-K ↗
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2025-02-13 8-KView 8-K ↗
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2024-07-23 8-KView 8-K ↗
M&A and Capital Events
8-K items 1.01 / 2.01 / 2.03 / 2.06 — agreements, acquisitions, new debt, impairments
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2024-05-06 item 1.01,2.03,9.01View 8-K ↗
8-K
Governance Alerts
8-K items 4.01 / 5.02 — auditor changes, executive departures
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2026-01-12 item 5.02,7.01,9.01View 8-K ↗
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2025-12-19 item 5.02,9.01View 8-K ↗
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2025-08-21 item 5.02View 8-K ↗
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2025-07-16 item 5.02,7.01,9.01View 8-K ↗
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2025-03-11 item 5.02View 8-K ↗
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2025-02-12 item 5.02View 8-K ↗
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2024-02-23 item 5.02View 8-K ↗
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2024-02-13 item 2.02,5.02,7.01,9.01View 8-K ↗
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2023-08-04 item 5.02View 8-K ↗
8-K
The Picture
— Business Exhibit —
The primary question is not price — it is: How probable is permanent loss?
Low probability → analyze further | High / Uncertain → too hard pile or wait
Everything else (Bull / Base / Bear) is secondary.
Low probability → analyze further | High / Uncertain → too hard pile or wait
Everything else (Bull / Base / Bear) is secondary.
Section 1 — Archetype
Section 2 — Destinations
The page you re-read when the tape goes loud.